The Cowichan Valley real estate market has experienced notable shifts as we transition into the new year. At the end of December, the inventory of single-family dwellings dropped to 158, compared to 230 in November. While this represents a month-over-month decrease, it remains slightly higher than December 2023, when inventory stood at just 145 homes.
The average sale price for a single-family dwelling in the Cowichan Valley rose modestly in December, settling at $785,000. This marks an increase from November’s average of $743,000, reflecting seasonal and economic adjustments impacting the market.
A particularly noteworthy trend this month is the sell-to-list ratio, which surged to 143% (41 new listings versus 59 sales). This indicates that more homes sold than were listed—a dynamic often observed during the winter months. While fewer homeowners choose to list properties during this season, buyers remain active, motivated by improved affordability stemming from slightly lower interest rates. This imbalance has created a temporary inversion in the market, emphasizing the importance of timing for both buyers and sellers.
Homes are generally selling close to their listing prices, with sale prices averaging 97.3% of the list price—a consistent trend over recent months. Additionally, the average "days on market" climbed to 78 in December, up from October and November. This increase reflects the tendency of sellers to keep properties listed for throughout the slower winter period.
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Media Release
JANUARY 2, 2025
2024 ENDS WITH A BALANCED MARKET AND A POSITIVE OUTLOOK
NANAIMO, BC – The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) recorded 7,489 unit sales (all property types) in 2024 compared to 7,297 in 2023 and 7,810 in 2022. December 2024 saw unit sales of 443 (all property types) and 2,883 active listings.
In the single-family category (excluding acreage and waterfront), 227 homes sold in December, up 52 per cent from one year ago and down 15 per cent from November. Sales of condo apartments last month came in at 44, increasing by 16 per cent year over year and down 29 per cent from November. In the row/townhouse category, 58 units changed hands in December, up 49 per cent from one year ago and down 24 per cent from November.
Active listings of single-family homes were 829 in December, up from the 796 posted one year ago. VIREB’s inventory of condo apartments was 271 last month, up from 257 in December 2023. There were 195 row/townhouses for sale last month compared to 244 the previous year.
VIREB CEO Jason Yochim reports that REALTORS® are feeling optimistic about 2025, with many clients stating they plan to buy or sell this year.
“Midway through 2024, VIREB’s housing market was fairly lacklustre, but it picked up steam later in the year,” says Yochim. “Our market remains balanced, indicated by an absorption rate of 15 per cent, which benefits buyers and sellers.”
However, Yochim adds that with only six-and-a-half months of inventory, VIREB could be heading towards a buyers’ market, particularly if listings continue the downward trend seen in December.
Moving on to prices, the board-wide benchmark price (MLS® Home Price Index) of a single-family home was $776,500 in December 2024, up three per cent from one year ago. In the apartment category, the benchmark price was $395,700 last month, down one per cent from the previous December. The benchmark price of a townhouse in December was $547,000, up two per cent from one year ago.
In Campbell River, the benchmark price of a single-family home was $693,400 last month, up five per cent from the previous year. The Comox Valley’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by three per cent to $834,500. In the Cowichan Valley, the benchmark price was $762,800, down one per cent from December 2023. Nanaimo’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by four per cent to $819,000, while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by four per cent to $886,300. The cost of a benchmark single-family home in Port Alberni was $511,000, up one per cent from the previous year. For the North Island, the benchmark price of a single-family home rose by six per cent to $448,400.
Looking ahead to 2025, the British Columbia Real Estate Association projects sales in the VIREB area to be around 7,900 this year. However, there is a great deal of uncertainty in the air due to tariff threats made by the incoming American administration. While British Columbia is less dependent on the United States than the rest of Canada (exports of 50 per cent compared to 75 per cent), a 25 per cent tariff would significantly impact the Canadian economy.
ABOUT VIREB
VIREB represents over 1,100 REALTORS® in nearly 90 member offices on Vancouver Island, from the Malahat in the south to the northern tip.
VIREB cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time but does not indicate the actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas.
Trademarks are owned or controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA (REALTOR®) and/or the quality of services they provide (MLS®).
Visit our website for updated information at www.vireb.com.
HPI Note: Areas with insufficient data do not generate statistics and are not included in the HPI graphs.