As we move into the winter season, the Cowichan Valley real estate market has seen notable shifts. At the end of November, the inventory of single-family dwellings dropped to 230, down from 296 in October. While this represents a month-over-month decrease, it remains significantly higher than November 2023, when inventory stood at just 183. This increase year-over-year indicates a more balanced market compared to the tighter conditions we experienced last year.
The average sale price for a single-family dwelling in the Cowichan Valley declined slightly in November, settling at $743,000. This is down from October’s average of $776,000, reflecting a modest adjustment as the market responds to seasonal and economic factors.
A particularly interesting statistic this month is the sell/list ratio, which reached 117% (42 new listings versus 60 sales). This means more homes sold than were listed during November—an unusual dynamic but not entirely surprising. As we head into the quieter winter months, fewer homeowners are choosing to list their properties, while buyers, encouraged by slightly improved affordability due to lower interest rates, remain active. This imbalance has created a temporary inversion in the market, highlighting the importance of timing for both buyers and sellers.
Homes are generally selling close to their listing prices, with sale prices averaging 97.40% of the list price—consistent with trends observed over the past several months. Meanwhile, the average number of "days on the market" was 54 in November, aligning with recent trends and reflecting the impact of increased inventory on overall market pace.
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MEDIA RELEASE
DECEMBER 2, 2024
BALANCED MARKET CONDITIONS LIKELY TO CLOSE OUT THE YEAR
NANAIMO, BC – The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) recorded 566 unit sales and 3,478 active listings (all property types) board-wide on the MLS® System in November 2024, up 17 and three per cent, respectively.
In the single-family category (excluding acreage and waterfront), 267 homes sold in November, up 14 per cent from one year ago and down 23 per cent from October. Sales of condo apartments last month came in at 62, increasing by 13 per cent year over year and down 23 per cent from October. In the row/ townhouse category, 76 units changed hands in November, up 58 per cent from one year ago and down eight per cent from October.
Active listings of single-family homes were 1,105 in November, up from the 1,040 posted one year ago. VIREB’s inventory of condo apartments was 314 last month, up from 285 in November 2023. There were 257 row/townhouses for sale last month compared to 282 the previous year.
VIREB expects to close out 2024 on a good note, with about 7,400 sales, significantly higher than the 7,114 sales seen in 2023. The British Columbia Real Estate Association projects sales in the VIREB area to be around 7,900 in 2025. However, the threat of tariffs imposed by the incoming American administration creates an environment of uncertainty for the Canadian economy as a whole, including the housing market.
VIREB CEO Jason Yochim reports that with an absorption rate of 16 per cent, the VIREB area remains in a balanced market, which offers buyers and sellers the best of both worlds.
“With just over six months of inventory last month, we edged slightly from a balanced market into one favouring buyers,” says Yochim. “While 2024 transactions haven’t turned out as we’d hoped, members are positive about 2025, with many clients stating they plan to buy or sell next year.’
Moving on to prices, the board-wide benchmark price (MLS® Home Price Index) of a single-family home was $778,400 in November 2024, up two per cent from one year ago and a slight uptick from October. In the apartment category, the benchmark price was $396,400 last month, down one per cent from the previous November and a small increase from October. The benchmark price of a townhouse in November was $544,400, down one per cent from one year ago and one per cent from October.
In Campbell River, the benchmark price of a single-family home was $713,700 last month, up seven per cent from the previous year. The Comox Valley’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by three per cent to $842,600. In the Cowichan Valley, the benchmark price was $769,300, down one per cent from November 2023. Nanaimo’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by two per cent to $812,900, while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by three per cent to $885,900. The cost of a benchmark single-family home in Port Alberni was $494,400, up two per cent from the previous year. For the North Island, the benchmark price of a single-family home rose by five per cent to $430,700.
Please note: The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) transitioned to a new MLS® System in July 2020 and now uses a significantly different data model, which has affected our categories and terminology. For the boardsupplied graphs, single-family is now referred to as single-family detached, apartment as condo apartment, and townhouse as row/townhouse, which now includes patio homes. However, when reporting HPI numbers, VIREB still refers to single-family, apartment, and townhouse in the media release.
ABOUT VIREB
VIREB represents over 1,100 REALTORS® in nearly 90 member offices on Vancouver Island, from the Malahat in the south to the northern tip.
VIREB cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time but does not indicate the actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas.
Trademarks are owned or controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA (REALTOR®) and/or the quality of services they provide (MLS®).
Visit our website for updated information at www.vireb.com.
HPI Note: Areas with insufficient data do not generate statistics and are not included in the HPI graphs.