The Cowichan Valley real estate market has shown intriguing dynamics as we enter 2025, presenting both opportunities and challenges for buyers and sellers alike.
Market Overview
As of January's end, the single-family dwelling inventory in the Cowichan Valley increased by 15% to 172 homes, up from 158 in December 2024. This shift in inventory has had a noticeable impact on market conditions.
Pricing Trends
The average sale price for single-family homes in the area saw a modest uptick:
January: $797,000
December: $785,000
This increase reflects the market's response to the lower inventory levels.
Market Dynamics
Inverted Sell-to-List Ratio: The market is currently experiencing an unusual phenomenon with a sell-to-list ratio of 143%. This means more homes are being sold (59) than listed (41), creating a unique market imbalance.
Buyer Activity: Despite the seasonal trend of fewer listings, buyer interest remains strong. This is likely fueled by improved affordability due to slightly lower interest rates.
Sale Price to List Price Ratio: Homes are selling at an average of 97.1% of their list price, a trend that has held steady in recent months.
Days on Market: Properties are moving slightly faster, with the average time on market decreasing from 78 days in December to 72 days in January.
Strategic Considerations
This market environment requires careful navigation:
For sellers, the low inventory and active buyer market could potentially lead to competitive offers.
For buyers, while options may be limited, improved affordability could present good opportunities.
The current market conditions underscore the importance of timing and informed decision-making.
Whether you're looking to buy or sell, having a knowledgeable real estate professional by your side can provide valuable insights and guidance to help you achieve your real estate goals.
Please contact me with any real estate-related questions; I’m here to provide you with the guidance and advice needed for this type of market.
Media Release
FEBRUARY 4, 2025
POSITIVE START TO 2025 TEMPERED BY UNCERTAINTY
NANAIMO, BC – The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board (VIREB) recorded 434 unit sales and 2,988 active listings (all property types) board-wide on the MLS® System in January 2025, up 26 and five per cent, respectively.
In the single-family category (excluding acreage and waterfront), 205 homes sold in January, up 36 per cent from one year ago and down 10 per cent from December. Sales of condo apartments last month came in at 46, the same number as in January 2024 and up five per cent from December. In the row/ townhouse category, 43 units changed hands in January, up 10 per cent from one year ago and down 26 per cent from December.
Active listings of single-family homes were 888 last month, up from the 807 posted one year ago. VIREB’s inventory of condo apartments was 293 last month, up from 258 in January 2024. There were 219 row/townhouses for sale in January compared to 282 the previous year.
VIREB CEO Jason Yochim reports that VIREB’s 2025 housing market had a strong start, with singlefamily detached properties and row/townhouses posting healthy sales increases over last January. Condo sales remained flat, with no change from January 2024.
“REALTORS® are reporting that their phones are ringing, with many clients expressing interest in listing their home this spring,” says Yochim. “The market is stronger than it was last January, so there is a lot of optimism in the air.”
However, the threat of American tariffs looms large. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) stated in its latest Market Intelligence Report (click here to read) that a 25 per cent tariff on all Canadian imports to the United States would seriously affect the Canadian and B.C. economies. That said, BCREA anticipates that in the most likely scenario, the B.C. housing market would see a temporary decline in activity before posting a robust recovery as mortgage rates decline substantially, thereby unleashing pent-up demand. Initially set to take effect on February 1, the tariffs are on “pause” for 30 days, according to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who spoke to President Trump yesterday.
Moving on to prices, the board-wide benchmark price (MLS® Home Price Index) of a single-family home was $774,600 in January 2025, up three per cent from one year ago. In the apartment category, the benchmark price was $393,600 last month, up one per cent from the previous January. The benchmark price of a townhouse last month was $540,000, up slightly from the prior year.
In Campbell River, the benchmark price of a single-family home was $691,900 last month, up four per cent from the previous year. The Comox Valley’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by two per cent to $827,000. In the Cowichan Valley, the benchmark price was $759,800, up one per cent from January 2024. Nanaimo’s year-over-year benchmark price rose by three per cent to $813,800, while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by five per cent to $888,200. The cost of a benchmark single-family home in Port Alberni was $523,300, up three per cent from the previous year. For the North Island, the benchmark price of a single-family home rose by eight per cent to $448,800.
ABOUT VIREB
VIREB represents over 1,100 REALTORS® in nearly 90 member offices on Vancouver Island, from the Malahat in the south to the northern tip.
VIREB cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time but does not indicate the actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas.
Trademarks are owned or controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA (REALTOR®) and/or the quality of services they provide (MLS®).
Visit our website for updated information at www.vireb.com.
HPI Note: Areas with insufficient data do not generate statistics and are not included in the HPI graphs.